What the Next President Should Say
2. I've decided though to take the risk, and to be as direct as possible with the American people. I know that the pundits will have a field day, but I think it important that we begin this dialog and that I let the chips fall where they may.
3. I believe there may be a fundamental problem in our economy, one that if left uncorrected, will lead to a continued decline in our power and status.
4. This flaw goes back four decades, starting after the first Apollo lunar landing, a time when the United States led the world in its ability to educate, innovate and produce goods.
5. In the late 1960's, in some ways, we peaked as a nation. Inspired in part by Kennedy's challenge to put a man on the moon, young engineers flooded our campuses. We soon had the best scientists, engineers, factories, farms and companies in the world. But we started to get comfortable with our role as a leader and with our national wealth.
Comfort can
be good. For the first time we began to seriously consider that we
as a nation, were wealthy enough to ensure that no American should
ever starve. But that comfort also brought new challenges. I
believe it is in that comfort we started to lose focus on how we
gained our wealth. I think we got soft and in some ways lost
an essential part of our national identify.
6. We began to say, ìIt's OK if we don't make the best steel.
It's dirty, low wage work anyway. We will import steel
and build great cars.î
7. We said it's OK if we don't make fuel-efficient cars,
tanker ships or even passenger trains. The new wisdom was
that, our labor costs are too high anyway. We'll focus
on high
margin products and
source heavy labor, low margin products and technology from Japan
and Asia. With their new cash, we can sell them high technology
robots and computers.
8. We then started to say it's OK if we don't make computers
in the US. It's commodity equipment requiring low wage work
anyway. We'll make computers in Asia and sell the world our
semiconductors.
9. Then we even said it's OK if we don't make semiconductors
in the US. We figured we would fabricate chips in Europe and
Asia. American jobs would still be OK because of the the higher
wage technology work that designs chips and software.
10. Today we say it's even OK if we don't even grow
information jobs in the US. “We'll just outsource
software to India and Eastern Europe and own the companies that
take advantage of their low cost labor.”
11. And here we are today.
12. We wonder how our financial institutions can have paper
values of billions of dollars, and then seemingly go out of
business overnight. We wonder what happened to all those good
jobs we used to have in Ohio, Pennsylvania and the rest of our
union.
13. We wonder how the United States got in the habit of
borrowing to pay our bills. In the last few months, the US
has borrowed to stimulate our economy, borrowed to pay for our
military efforts overseas, and yes, borrowed to bailout troubled
companies.
14. We wonder why our Executive Branch, that must borrow one
to two billion dollars ($1,000,000,000 USD) each and every day to
fund our deficit spending, no longer asks us to buy American
products. instead, we are encouraged to keep the economy strong by
purchasing goods that create millions of jobs in the lands of our
lenders.
15. So here is what I've been reluctant to say ...
what no politician wants to say ...
but deep down, I believe we all know ...
16. That
our nation’s strength is declining ... our jobs, our economic
wealth, our power and status in the world ... for the simple reason
that we don't produce nearly as much as we
consume.
17. And until we, as citizens of this country wake up ...
and engage our businesses and citizens in producing here,
much more of the goods the world and our country needs ...
then our country's greatness and our place in history
may be at risk.
18. Now, you may be thinking, "If the only way to get out of
this mess is to produce more in America, then we are in real
trouble.î
Don’'t
you know US wages are too high?î
Don'’t you know that in a global economy we will never again
be able to compete with low wages around the
world?
19. And now we get to the reason I decided to address you
today. I think the knowledge that we as a country must
produce more to compete and to survive has been in the backs of our
minds for some time now.
20. I think many of us started getting worried when steel
mills began closing in the 70's and grew even more worried as
decade after decade, in market after market, we simply punted and
listened as our country's leadership said,
We just
can’'t compete.
ìThose jobs are never coming back.î
ìIt's OK, globalization is a good thing.î
21. Deep
in our hearts, we knew something wasn't right. We knew that
building a car and watching a computer grill a burger were not
equally important to our destiny. Even if we hadn't read Adam
Smith's "The Wealth of Nations." We began fearing that as
markets spread our jobs around the global economy ... that if we
didn't somehow produce as much in our farms, factories and
skyscrapers as we consumed in our malls, homes and on our plates
that someday we would simply run out of money.
22. But as Roosevelt once said, "The only thing we must fear
is fear itself."
23. I believe that if we face our fears, and carry them into
the light of day, this country will see them for what they are
...
just a few additional challenges that are neither too tall or
beyond our capacity as a people to address ... one day at a
time.
24. So let's talk about a few of our deepest
fears:
Fear #1
"We owe China, Japan, the Middle East and other
countries trillions of dollars. If we start saying we
will begin a concerted effort to educate our children and make more
products in America, they will just stop investing here and will
make our debt problems even worse."
Light of Day Answer: "This
won't happen. The reason goes back to the fundamentals of the
global economy. The US provides brains, natural resources and
consumers important to the global economy. We also provide
the backbone for the global economy, one that has worked since the
concept of globalization was little more than a dream. A
healthy US helps other economies grow. Also, a healthy US
will pay back the trillions owed. Foreign countries won't
stop investing in the US if we start growing our economy ... but
they most certainly will stop investing here if we
don't.
Fear #2
"We can't complete with low wage countries like India. A
contract software developer in India costs a third of an American
programmer."
Light of Day Answer: "It is
true that programmers in India cost less, but it is not true that
America cannot compete. Let’'s look at what really
happens when a company needs an information worker. Let's
assume your company needs a junior programmer. You can either
contract a programmer in the US from a company like IBM
for $150 per hour, or you can hire a programmer as an
employee in the US for about $60 hour, or you can contract a
programmer in India for $20 hour.
The problem facing America is not that we don't have several
million young adults willing to work for $20/hour which equates
$40K per year.
The problem is that unlike their counterparts in India, our young
people don't have (in quantity) the engineering degrees and other
skills needed for these jobs.
That's why it is essential that we ensure our people can afford and
attend college, and that is why I have proposed that after a
student receives a degree made possible with government and/or
private sector assistance, that the student pay in part for that
education by working in an essential high demand, military or
national service job.
Fear #3
"Even if we can reclaim the information work, we can't
competitively make steel, trains, ships, computers, toasters or
other similar products."
Light
of Day Answer: "First,
we can and DO make great steel, large powerful ships and super fast
computers ... but we make far less in the US than we should.
I think part of the problem is a lack of leadership ...
leadership that helps US consumers and businesses understand the
true cost of abandoning markets leadership that invests in
infrastructure and development zones that promote innovation not
only in new products, but innovation in how we cost effectively
make those products and complete with the global market."
25. If we don't face the fundamental issues of
competitiveness and production in this country, then I think we are
deluding ourselves about our prospects. If an inventor in PA
is able to find an engine maker in Shenzhen China easier then an
idle worker in New Jersey, we have a problem. If we don't
make skills a priority such that our children see the importance of
learning about engines, metal work, plastics, glass and ceramics,
we have a problem. If our children don’'t study
engineering and science in our colleges, we frankly will not be
able to produce the green, sustainable products that will drive our
job growth in the future.
26. Let me be clear. I believe the short-term efforts
we are taking to stabilize our economy must succeed. I also
believe that our long-term success as a country requires our full
participation in the global economy. But I also believe that
my most important task as your president may be to return this
country to the basics, ... to provide a focus for young and old
alike on education, innovation, and production such that this
country again pays its way in this world.
27. You have often heard me predict the road ahead will be
difficult. Unfortunately, the current economic crisis is
working to ensure that this prediction comes true. But do not be
dismayed. Yes, it may be that our young people will have to
study more. Yes, it may be that new couples will need to save
longer before purchasing that plasma television. And yes, it
may be that as consumers we must all need to start looking for the
“Made in the USA” label again. But I believe that
our shared commitment today toward facing these challenges will
ensure a better tomorrow for our children. I also believe
that our efforts to overcome this crisis will make this country not
only stronger and more prosperous, but may provide a new sense of
purpose for generations to come.
God
Bless


