Part 1: Revisiting the Mainframe Utility Computing Model

Forward to the Mainframe?

This is the first article in the
Forward to the Mainframe? series
Part 2: WinTel, the Luddite Revolution
Part 3: A Virtualization Machine - the X86 Mainframe

IBM's Mainframe Business Model

As the original utility computing device, the mainframe business model enables a company to invest in a system that it can grow with.

With a mainframe purchase, you buy a machine that typically can do more than you need. This "utility" computing model enables you to buy only what you need. Thus, instead of paying a price of two million dollars for unlimited use of a mainframe, you might pay one million dollars to obtain the computing power you need today.
This sounds great until after a couple years you get that first big holiday rush. You need more capacity, but you just invested heavily in product and marketing to make this rush happen. The last thing you want to do is invest heavily in a partially depreciated computer system. You invest now, because you have to, but the threat of unexpected investment in the future makes you start to see your mainframe less as a valued asset and more like an ax hanging over your head. Despite being less happy, you stay with your mainframe, because the cost of migration is high. But when your IT staff mentions an opportunity to put a new application on a low-cost WinTel server, instead of adding that application to the mainframe you already own ... you diversify.

Most people on a logical level, understand the need to pay more to get more. But those same people, on a gut level, feel there is something wrong with paying to "unlock" capability on a system they have already purchased. Their gut tells them that the total cost of the system should be what they paid up front, i.e. one million. They know that the extra million in anticipated revenue by the mainframe maker would not be possible if the market had greater competition and less lock-in.

Factors that promote lock-in and slow competition:

Mainframe Utility Computing Lock-in

The answer to the mainframe's version of utility computing was of course to increase competition and reduce lock-in. CIO's began slowly increasing their investment in alternatives, working toward the day that they could completely sever every linkage to the mainframe hegemony. "Progress" led the industry though mini-computers and Unix hosts before crowning a new business computing champion, WinTel.

In my next article, we will examine the industry's "progress" from the Mainframe.

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