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wJones
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Would it really be reasonable or cost effective to build or deploy intelligent solutions in three to six years, as your materials suggest?

Citation

Warren Jones, Lana Rubalsky (2010) "Would it really be reasonable or cost effective to build or deploy intelligent solutions in three to six years, as your materials suggest?", wJones Research, April 23, 2010
Yes, with two caveats:

First, an understanding that any investment must be for the long term and the first systems will be necessarily simple. Over time (that will measure in decades) intelligent products and processes will become increasingly capable.

Second, there are also risks: regulatory, technical and market related, that could delay any planned product introduction.

1 The key regulatory risk is that regulatory debate will start after first products are ready for market, despite efforts to engage government early.
2 The key technical risk is that regulatory requirements could add late technical requirements.
3 The key market risk is that important aspects of the technology’s design that will make solutions safe, secure, protective of privacy and assistive in nature, rather than a replacement for human labor, would not be adequately communicated to the public.

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